Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1264.583352 1429.214980 1609.661654 1822.525596 2067.280971 2340.491169 2669.396517
2025-12-21 971.520555 1183.328388 1435.628470 1759.968854 2168.224851 2668.149671 3331.406773
2025-12-28 858.005573 1099.761108 1404.670514 1820.868653 2379.434177 3110.550375 4152.139409
2026-01-04 766.254152 1022.869365 1361.673750 1847.161452 2533.862535 3483.774667 4920.627671
2026-01-11 691.785791 955.763544 1318.120003 1859.480173 2660.898978 3824.497824 5680.601254
2026-01-18 631.057525 898.586658 1278.640121 1867.904622 2776.617514 4155.101381 6463.477802
2026-01-25 591.265381 865.787658 1268.413642 1914.749086 2950.651000 4588.994435 7463.740053
2026-02-01 553.498032 831.265502 1250.634886 1945.609275 3099.781134 4997.320198 8476.083649
2026-02-08 517.557626 795.471959 1226.360575 1961.687972 3223.865526 5375.593197 9487.014077
2026-02-15 487.225719 765.263149 1207.248705 1982.746158 3356.377978 5780.937485 10602.779939
2026-02-22 463.855737 743.858544 1199.792836 2021.536673 3522.291128 6262.986956 11933.283633
2026-03-01 427.157044 697.138990 1145.793937 1973.117886 3524.149378 6440.978180 12686.324286
2026-03-08 392.275976 651.343928 1090.573538 1919.042047 3513.182786 6600.309698 13442.676840
2026-03-15 359.043887 605.856053 1032.241539 1853.800357 3474.087355 6700.688037 14093.056290
2026-03-22 348.806080 599.741675 1042.866265 1918.293805 3695.753663 7354.590624 16075.957505
2026-03-29 334.110182 584.333363 1035.093456 1946.164557 3846.021750 7878.333371 17850.980457
2026-04-05 318.670448 566.273060 1020.725180 1959.222407 3966.346632 8352.293952 19590.208122
2026-04-12 303.992597 548.450543 1005.213983 1968.152736 4078.344284 8821.688504 21402.743516
2026-04-19 295.270917 541.193412 1009.330365 2017.815083 4285.234934 9536.789993 23988.807966
2026-04-26 285.187590 530.501091 1005.716069 2050.536158 4457.451354 10193.332283 26546.878187
2026-05-03 274.123886 517.040682 995.407697 2067.585812 4595.088747 10784.241895 29039.827548
2026-05-10 264.348336 505.421615 987.877152 2089.917093 4747.749613 11434.436765 31840.591494
2026-05-17 256.981356 498.130331 988.688248 2131.056955 4951.111485 12245.751695 35305.272544